YP’s Steve Triolet Featured in D CEO’s CRE Opinion

CRE Opinion: Extremes of the Investment Spectrum

The number of office properties being marketed for sale in Dallas-Fort Wort is up, especially in types of commercial properties.

In early 2018, Younger Partners noticed a surge in office properties that have been marketed for sale, far above the norm we’ve seen over the past several years. Part of this increase in properties for sale is certainly tied to interest rates and the anticipated movement in cap rates that are expected to follow. In early 2018, there was more than 11 million square feet of office properties being marketed for sale. Since then, the number and square feet of office properties available for sale has steadily increased and now is more than 17 million square feet.

The thing is, the most active parts of the office investment market in DFW seem to be at either end of the risk spectrum, with large built-to-suit investments like State Farm’s Richardson campus that sold in late 2016 as a sale-lease back for $400 per square foot. Institutional investors prefer core, Class A properties and the large built-to-suits are generally very low risk. In fact, most are single tenant assets with 10 to 15-year leases. Some of the current inventory is similar to this, like AT&T’s Whitacre Tower, in the Dallas core, which is currently for sale.

The other end of the spectrum are the high vacancy properties, which are commonly referred to as value-add. These vacated properties (which, in many cases, are the old locations for new built-to-suit projects) can be an attractive investment for investors with a higher appetite for risk.

In late 2017, International Plaza I and II were vacated by JPMorgan Chase and Fannie Mae (both tenants moved into new built-to-suit properties in the Legacy area) and the two properties were then sold in early 2018 for $152 per square foot. These two adjacent properties are currently one of the largest contiguous blocks of Class A space in DFW. Sometimes the vacated properties go through distressed sales, where the banks take back possession or they sale at foreclosure auction. The former Zale Corp. property at 901 Walnut Hill Lane in Irving went through foreclosure in October 2017.

Outside of the extremes, there are more investment grade office options currently available in DFW than we’ve seen in well over a decade. With so much inventory available, sales transaction volume will either be delayed due to lack of buyers, or a record number of office properties will trade hands in 2018. Currently the market is already on pace to surpass 2016, which was the highest year this business cycle.

Steve Triolet is the research director at Younger Partners.

You can see the article here.

Younger Partners in Bisnow: 3 Impacts All This New Office Supply Is Having On Fundamentals

By Catie Dixon, Bisnow

DFW loves new.

Younger Partners Research Director Steve Triolet delved into the impact of Dallas’ huge office pipeline on the market and found that deliveries — 20.1M SF of Class-A and 3.8M SF of Class-B office has come online since 2013 — are shaping the city in a few ways.

1) Rent Explosion

The delta between Class-A and Class-B office rents is widening as new supply sets new bars for pricing. Historically, there was a $4 to $5 gap per square foot between what tenants paid for a top-tier building and a Class-B one, but that has been increasing over the past five years, Triolet said. The delta is now $8/SF.

2) New-Build Is Low-Risk, But Could Hurt Everyone Else

The best performing submarkets are typically the ones with the newest buildings, and those properties are almost guaranteed to do well. “Even in an overbuilding situation, it’s rare for the newest buildings to go into distress,” Triolet said. “The properties that struggle the most at almost any point in the business cycle are the older, outdated properties.” Even with a growing discount on pricing, these properties are more often struggling to attract tenants.

3) Time On Market Is Shrinking, Which Is Unexpected

The overall vacancy rate in DFW office has been rising for three years. Typically, the average time to lease space is directly correlated to vacancy — as competition increases, so does the amount of time it takes to fill a building. Not this time.

The average time on market has been trending downward for the past five years and particularly the last three. Basically, tenants are quickly jumping on new space, and there has been more new space to jump to recently. DFW has been absorbing a strong 5M SF per year for about five years, making it one of the most active leasing markets in the U.S.

No surprise: Time on market is much longer for older properties than new or newly renovated ones.

“The underlining message is old, unimproved space tends to languish on the market, while there continues to be a healthy appetite for higher-quality space, especially new and improved office space,” Triolet said.

CoStar Article Features Younger Partners Research, Leadership

CoStar article by Candace Carlisle

New Office Buildings Delivering Low Vacancy Rates in Dallas-Fort Worth: The Areas With the Lowest Vacancies Also have the Newest Office Options

Developers putting new office buildings on the ground in Dallas-Fort Worth are also helping boost occupancy rates in key neighborhoods as tenants flock to the younger generation properties.

It’s no accident some of North Texas’ submarkets with the lowest vacancy rates, including Far North Dallas, Uptown, Richardson and Las Colinas, have all delivered buildings in this real estate cycle, said Steve Triolet, research director for Dallas-based Younger Partners. “Tenants really prefer new product over old product,” Triolet told Costar News. “If you look at the 1980s vintage of buildings from the heyday of construction in Dallas, most of those skyscrapers are 35 years old and, to stay competitive, they have to renovate.”

Those skyscrapers in downtown Dallas, including Trammell Crow Center, Bank of America Plaza, Fountain Place, Ross Tower and Chase Tower, have all recently undergone or are undergoing massive multimillion-dollar upgrades. The facelifts help those buildings compete with new buildings coming to the market, including PwC Tower and The Union.

That is exactly what happened in the case of downtown law firm Vinson & Elkins, which had originally planned to relocate its Dallas office to The Union. But construction delays led to the law firm staying put at Trammell Crow Center after the downtown skyscraper unveiled a massive renovation and adjacent development to compliment the high-rise office building.

And the suburbs around Dallas are also following suit, with Far North Dallas in Plano’s Legacy Business Park and northward on the Dallas North Tollway to Frisco boasting one of the region’s submarkets with the most construction — and one of the lowest vacancy rates of 15 percent, said Triolet, who has been studying the tenant movement in North Texas for the last decade.

“We are seeing the vacancy rates get chronically larger when it comes to older buildings,” he added.

Older, build-to-suit are often the most difficult to fill, Triolet said, with few companies seeking to lease or buy the aging office stock designed specifically for an early 1980s business.

This is a trend longtime Dallas leader Moody Younger has seen for some time.

“The new office buildings are not for everyone, but Dallas does like bright, shiny new stuff more so than older buildings,” Younger told CoStar News. “In Dallas, we are also still able to provide new buildings at a reasonable cost.”

For tenants seeking new digs, Younger said they want a combination of amenities in a new building coupled with the walkable location coming with new buildings being delivered today in North Texas.

“Well-located properties with amenities are leasing up and I don’t see that trend stopping,” he said. “This is what is hot right now and it’s here to stay for the foreseeable future.”

http://product.costar.com/home/news/shared/192928

Columns Magazine’s Vibrancy vs. Vacancy: Lessons From Downtown

AIA Dallas Columns Magazine’s spring issue features an article written by Younger Partners’ communications manager Tonie Auer and includes broker Robert Grunnah as one of the expert sources on the ups and downs of vacancy in Downtown Dallas over the years. You can view the article here. 

If you take a look at the history of downtown Dallas vacancy rates, there is a story behind each wave of ups and downs reaching back to the 1950s. And it all leads to the recent revitalization that we are seeing today.

In the 1950s and 1960s, downtown Dallas was not only the central business hub of the city, it was also the historic retail and entertainment core, says Kourtny Garrett, Downtown Dallas Inc. president and CEO.

“You had the streetcars running and Theater Row,” she says. “It was a destination for entertainment, shopping, as well as business.”

“The 1950s and ’60s were the heyday downtown. There was both retail vitality and office vitality,” says GFF Chairman Larry Good, FAIA. “I have fabulous memories of taking a bus downtown and seeing all of the department stores from Neiman Marcus to Sanger’s, James K. Wilson, and all the great retailers. The movies were all open at the Majestic, the Palace, the Capri, the Melba. Downtown was humming.”

But the abundance of highway construction between the 1960s and 1980s contributed to the flight of retail and office to the suburbs from the central core, Garrett says.

RISE OF THE SKYSCRAPERS

By the late 1970s throughout the 1980s, office towers sprouted and overbuilding became a Texas tradition. “That’s when the vacancy piece of the puzzle became a problem,” Garrett says.

Greg Biggs, JLL managing director for tenant representation, says the millions of square feet of skyscrapers developed in downtown Dallas in the 1980s changed two things. First, there was more space available than tenants to occupy it. Second, developers gave building architects free rein to design massive projects that were more about making a statement of prominence.

“Back then, employees would go to work for a big firm and work their way up to a partnership and the corner office and be there for years. It was a time when ‘who the employer was’ made a statement. As times progressed and the workplace changed, employees began to dictate how the space was used. Employers are in a daily battle to retain and recruit the best employees. Employees now enter their career and if they don’t like where they are for whatever reason, they’ll leave and go somewhere else or work there for a while and start their own business.

“That transition has driven much of what has happened in downtown Dallas office occupancy. Many of the businesses that used to be in downtown have migrated to the suburbs and created offices that are more efficient and better suit their employee needs,” Biggs says.

On the other hand, Garrett says, “Overbuilding, combined with the market crash of the 1980s and the consolidation of retail nationally, led to the sidewalks rolling up at 5 p.m. We had a quiet downtown except for the 9-to-5 folks. Downtown was now automobile-driven with no vibrancy. There were some discount stores left at ground level and a couple of restaurants that came in, but no reason for people to really go out on the street.”

Downtown became an office park by the 1970s as the retailers one by one closed their doors in favor of more successful suburban locations, Good says. The big banks, law firms, accountants and architects were enjoying “officing” in downtown, and the banks each built their monuments, he says.

“There were some pretty impressive high-rise office buildings that hit a crescendo around 1978 to 1988,” Good recalls. “The last one to be built was 2200 Ross [Texas Commerce Bank tower, now Chase Bank tower].”

VACANCY MOVES IN

Younger Partners broker Robert Grunnah says that in the era of new construction in the early 1970s and 1980s, vacancy started to rise, especially in the Class B and Class C properties. When developer Trammell Crow built Trammell Crow Center, the extended negative cycle began in earnest.

“Comerica and the Bank of America buildings were added, among others, and they all struggled; Fountain Place as well,” Grunnah says. “After that boom of construction in the 1980s, there was no new construction downtown until projects in the Arts District. Office rents in downtown were flat for 20 to 25 years. With the success in the Arts District, former Class B buildings became C, and then vacant, and then no one wanted to lease them.”

Grunnah says the downtown buildings languished through the late 1980s and early 1990s. The collapse of the savings and loan industry hit hard, followed by the RTC debacle that resulted in many building owners losing their properties or even giving them back. The Resolution Trust Corp., a U.S. government-owned asset management company, was established in 1989 to liquidate primarily real estate-related assets such as mortgage loans held by the savings and loans.

“The downtown Class B and C buildings remained vacant, with most essentially owned by former lenders waiting for something to happen,” Grunnah says. “All of these buildings had environmental issues like asbestos. And with no demand for office users, they couldn’t afford to remodel them, so they sat empty.”

Good says the early 1990s saw the first wave of residential conversions of the most beautiful of the empty office towers. But while it was a nice trend, it was slow and didn’t have legs because many of the other middle-age office buildings were “hard to love” and not necessarily appealing.

TURNING POINT

“By the late ’90s, downtown had more than 40 vacant buildings. All the department stores had closed with the exception of Neiman Marcus. Theater Row was shuttered. Then came the city’s first TIF (Tax Increment Financing District, a publicly funded subsidy for redevelopment, infrastructure and other community improvement projects), and it was a pivotal point in the city’s move to revamp downtown,” Garrett says.

The City Center TIF, launched in 1996 with updates added years later, created a little spark of interest from a couple of out-of-market developers who saw the potential, she says.

“That’s when we saw the introduction of residential into the picture. There’s no single thing you can point to for the decline and the revitalization of downtown,” Garrett says. “But, if you pare the success down, it was because of the introduction of residential, which drives demand for retail, public space, and more services. Those initial TIF investments turned some of those vacant buildings into apartments.”

The inspiration to make big changes downtown followed the disappointing loss of the Boeing Corp.’s decision to pick Chicago over Dallas for its new headquarters, Good says.

“They told us we lost that opportunity because we had dead downtown streets, vacant retail, no street life, and that downtown was not appealing. That lit a fire under the mayor and City Council and Downtown Dallas Inc.,” Good recalls. “Everyone pulled together to address creating green space, getting people out of the tunnels and back on the street, and becoming more dedicated to converting some of those old office buildings to residential use. In addition to the City Center TIF was the creation of the Downtown Connection TIF.

“Those supplied some gap money to help make some of the conversions possible at the Davis, Dallas Power and Light building, Lone Star Gas Lofts, and the Mercantile Building. That era of buildings became converted for residential instead of office and very importantly took that vacancy off the books and replaced with new residential occupancy,” Good says.

The early 2000s was the turnaround time when city leaders “really got our act together, made plans, had public sector support and began to see the reinvestment downtown,” Good adds.

Until residential developers started rehabbing downtown towers in the early 2000s, there was only one downtown high-rise condo and it struggled, Grunnah says. It has since been remodeled and is doing well today, he says. During the RTC days, Grunnah had three offers on a pool of RTC-marketed buildings, but many of the offers requested that the Davis Building be removed from the offering. Ultimately, a buyer took the title for no cost and, after another pair of trades, the Davis Building is now a highly successful residential building, he says.

The market for residential properties increased, and many buildings have now been converted to multifamily because the buildings had low ceiling heights and inefficient office floor plates or they needed new HVAC, which all prevented the office buildings from leasing at competitive rates, Grunnah says.

RESIDENTIAL AND REVIVAL

Smart developers have taken empty office buildings and converted them to residential apartments or condominiums with views and other amenities, Biggs says.

“It’s cooler and closer to the heartbeat of the inner city, and that’s a huge comeback from the 1980s and the ’90s with all of the giant vacancy numbers. Empty buildings found a purpose, and their vacancy was taken off the office market,” Biggs adds.

The demand for urban residential that began around 2000 hasn’t slacked. Today, downtown residential properties hover around 94 percent occupancy on average, Garrett says. With no overbuilding in the market, that occupancy rate is usually attained within six months of opening.

The historic Wilson building and the Davis Building were among the first office-to-residential conversions, and the Magnolia Oil building was transformed into the hotel we know today, she adds. The second wave included the Davis, Dallas Power & Light, and Mosaic projects, Good says.

The residential population has jumped dramatically since the mid-1990s. In 1996, downtown had about 200 residents. Today, more than 11,000 people live downtown. Add in the Cedars, Deep Ellum, and other neighborhoods around the urban core, and that number increases to around 50,000 residents.

After the explosion in residential, next came the parks, including Main Street Garden, Belo Garden and ultimately Klyde Warren Park. Walkability became the buzz word, Garrett says.

“A trend we started seeing around five years ago with Bryan Tower and 2100 Ross (the old San Jacinto tower) among others along the Ross Avenue corridor—which is congruent with the new construction trajectory going on in Uptown—is building owners realizing that the older office stock needs to be competitive with places like Uptown or Legacy,” she says. “They have to be stepping up to meet the demands from the recruitment and retention standpoints.”

There is much more renovation and adaptive reuse occurring in downtown office buildings, such as the conversion of One Main Place to a Westin Hotel and residential tower.

“It’s a recent phenomenon, but I believe we will continue to see buildings do that,” Garrett says. “I think creative office is also huge trend; I believe we will see a lot more creative and innovation industry coming into downtown.”

AT STREET LEVEL

Garrett expects more in-fill development: “We are entering an era of new construction; we will see parking lots absorbed with mixed-use, and they’ll all better connect our vibrant nodes like the Farmers Market, Main Street, the West End, and the Arts District.”
At the top of the Downtown Dallas Inc. priority list is more attention to the street level. It’s been done very intentionally with plans for traffic calming , bike lanes, and more complete streets. Traffic calming uses physical design and other measures to improve safety for motorists, pedestrians, and cyclists. It aims to encourage safer, more responsible driving and potentially reduce traffic flow.

“Livability is a word that comes into play significantly here,” Garrett says. “Infill development will be complemented by more services, schools, grocery stores, and the elements that create a true livable place.”

“We now have enough population downtown that retail is practical again,” Good says. “We have the daytime office population and the full-time residents and nighttime population, along with visitors for sports and cultural events. Retail makes sense again. We are seeing the storefronts reactivated, and we’re already seeing grocery stores nibbling around edge of downtown.”

Grunnah believes the biggest problem for downtown—unlike Frisco, Plano or Legacy—is  providing affordable housing for back-office employees, who now fight traffic on commutes and face expensive parking. “I see downtown becoming a place for Class A corporate locations that do not require high-density employment,” Grunnah says.

Dallas has one advantage over many of its suburban competitors—the DART mass transit system. As fuel prices increase, more people will turn to mass transit, Biggs says.

“Dallas is in a great position to continue its diversified growth,” he says. “Downtown Dallas has a number of influential supporters who are going to continue to do what they can to improve the attractiveness of downtown.”

Long-term, Good sees a rosy picture.

“The millennials absolutely love the center city. They want to be in the heart of a metropolitan area where you can walk. And they’re becoming the decision-makers and the leaders of their companies. They’re making the decisions of where they office and live,” Good says.

Tonie Auer is communications manager at Younger Partners.

DBJ Amazon HQ2 Article Features YP Research Director Steve Triolet

Halo or horns? The impact of Amazon’s HQ2 hunt on other major relocations

By Bill Hethcock, Dallas Business Journal

Two schools of thought prevail on the impact of Amazon’s second headquarters search on other major corporate relocations and expansions scouting Dallas-Fort Worth and the rest of the United States.

One school posits that Dallas and many of the other 19 metro areas still in the running for Amazon’s HQ2 are experiencing a “halo effect,” or an attraction from other businesses due to the hype surrounding the Seattle e-commerce juggernaut’s interest. If a city is good enough for Amazon’s consideration, this line of reasoning goes, it’s good enough for ours.

The other school counters that companies considering HQ2 finalist cities are hitting the slow-mo or pause button on their own searches until after Amazon names its final HQ2 resting place. Cities on Amazon’s list have the equivalent of devil’s horns that scare away companies worried that the 50,000-job project will soak up available IT talent, drive up salaries and cause housing costs to soar to levels their own employees couldn’t afford.

King White, CEO of Dallas-based Site Selection Group, falls in the second camp.

With the economy going strong, site selection activity has been strong across the U.S. for high-end corporate campus projects, White said. In addition to Amazon, some of the names on the list include Apple, Snapchat, JPMorgan Chase, Google, Infosys, State Farm, Liberty Mutual and more.

The quest for more labor is the top factor behind most of the largest site selection searches, White said. Most companies have gotten so big at their headquarters location that they are tapping out their existing labor markets, he said.

Apple and Amazon, for example, are both searching for new labor markets after outgrowing their headquarters labor markets. When leaving high cost labor markets like San Francisco and Seattle, these companies often can reduce their labor costs by 20 to 30 percent, White said.

“The impact of these mega-deals on your site selection decisions is critical,” White wrote in a recent blog to his company’s clients. “Most of these projects are branded employers paying premium wages, so they can be an employer of choice. Just think of the impact of Amazon landing in your city as they ramp up to 50,000 employees. Your employee attrition and labor cost for quality talent are going to skyrocket.”

A spokesman for the Dallas Regional Chamber, which coordinated the DFW market’s combined pitch for HQ2, said chamber executives haven’t noticed an increase or decrease in interest in DFW since being placed on Amazon’s list.

“The ‘halo’ the DFW Region enjoys comes from the fact that this market continues to be one of the most dynamic economies in the country and a homing beacon for companies and jobs,” the chamber’s Darren Grubb wrote in response to questions from the Dallas Business Journal. “Since 2010, more than 125 companies have relocated here, hundreds of other local businesses have grown and expanded, and more than 100,000 new jobs are created every year.”

Steve Triolet, research director for Dallas-based commercial real estate firm Younger Partners, said the company hasn’t seen evidence of a halo or horns effect in regard to relocations to North Texas.

With few exceptions, DFW is considered for almost all national corporate relocation searches because of the lack of a corporate income tax, affordable office rents, relatively affordable residential housing, lack of a personal state income tax and other factors, Triolet said.

”The biggest concern has been in regard to potential labor shortages, but this generally is only impactful on certain job roles — usually on either extreme end of the pay spectrum,” he said.

Those include low-paying jobs like call centers, or jobs where advanced scientific or Ph.Ds are required, Triolet said.

“DFW has a large enough labor pool to accommodate most industries and companies, and migration data points to DFW being able to attract whatever talent shortfalls that might emerge,” he said. “People will move for good jobs.”

Amazon sent a letter this month to Dallas and the other 19 finalists to say it’s still weighing its decision. Grubb said the chamber received the letter. He said Amazon has not provided a timetable for its decision other than to say it will announce the winner sometime in 2018.

YP Volunteers with KidSwing for Second Year

For the second consecutive year, Younger Partners leadership and team members volunteered to help with the KidSwing golf tournament to benefit Texas Scottish Rite Hospital. A Monday afternoon on the golf courses at Brookhaven Country Club for a good cause? That’s a great way to spend a Monday.

YP Deal: Sale of 123-Acre Lake Travis Waterfront Property with 80-Slip Marina

After a complicated deal process, Waterford Lago Vista LLC acquired 123 acres, which includes waterfront property and an 80-slip marina on Lake Travis, just outside of Austin. The land sale will allow the investor to also own and develop four phases of the Waterford at Lake Travis, which includes 49 ready-to-go lots for single-family home development, as well as larger vacant land tracts.

The buyer, Waterford Lago Vista LLC, was represented by Tate Chiles with NB Elite Realty. The seller was represented by Younger Partners brokers John St. Clair, Robert Grunnah and Michael Ytem.

“The buyer recognized the untapped potential of this beautiful Lake Travis community,” Chiles says. “The new ownership believes it is the right time and the right location in the path of growth of Central Texas.  Waterford Lago Vista LLC looks forward to the possibilities that lie ahead and is in the process of making plans to revitalize the subdivision and increase building activity.”

“Waterford at Lake Travis, located along the north shore in the highly desirable Hill Country, just outside of Austin, is a great location. This deal was distinctly underrated by the Austin market and required a very sophisticated approach to see the potential for investment and this buyer recognized that,” Grunnah says.

St. Clair says Waterford was extensively planned, engineered, and partially developed, but the timing 10 years ago wasn’t ideal for the project. Since that time, there is now a wealth of amenities, shopping, and restaurants located along the north side of Lake Travis.

This offering included four phases all within the Lago Vista Extra Territorial Jurisdiction (ETJ) with 49 developed lake lots with great views as well as acreage to develop more lots. The buyer of Waterford also inherits participation in the Municipal Utility District.

“The developed lots are within an established, partially sold development and are configured to meet the market demand,” St. Clair explains. “The scenic country surrounding the development and lake views from these home sites are impressive as are recreational opportunities surrounding the development including the contiguous marina.”

Lago Vista was incorporated in 1984 as a lakeside resort community with homes, condominiums, golf courses, and the marina. The community encompasses more than 15 miles of Lake Travis shoreline with a population of about 5,000 residents.

“The quality of life in this community is extraordinary whether the homeowners are retirees, looking for a second home, or those benefitting from telecommuting. Working from your gorgeous lake home makes that occasional commute to Austin enjoyable,” St. Clair says. “We are confident this will be a great investment for the new owners and we look forward to listing and selling more projects in Central Texas.”

Younger Partners’ Moody Younger & Steve Triolet Featured in Dallas Morning News Article

Businesses are paying a bigger tab for the newest D-FW office digs

By Steve Brown

North Texas businesses are paying a lot more for the newest office digs.

With the recent building boom, costs for the newest, first-class buildings are at an all-time high.

And the gap between what companies are paying for the top-of-the-market space is growing compared to older, so-called Class B buildings, a new study by real estate company Younger Partners found.

“The spread is definitely getting wider,” Younger Partners’ Steve Triolet said. “Office rental rates are at an all-time peak – well above where we were in the ’90s and the 2000s.

Historically the difference in average asking office rents between Class A and Class B buildings in D-FW runs just over $5 per square foot. Currently, the difference is more than $8 per square foot, Triolet said.

That shouldn’t come as a surprise with most of the newer buildings quoting rents in the $30s and $40s per square foot. Average asking rents for all types of buildings are more than $25 per square foot.

Tenants who don’t want to pay the extra rate for the shiniest new offices are finding more options.

“We are seeing an increase in Class B space availability because you have had a lot of new construction and that has pulled tenants to new buildings,” Triolet said.

While the rate of office rent growth is slowing in North Texas, Younger Partners’ founder Moody Younger said he’s not seeing a lot of giveaways yet to attract tenants.

“If there are some concessions creeping back in, it’s building specific,” Younger said. “But I do think that concessions are something to be aware of.

“Where we are seeing concession increases is in the tenant improvement packages which are continuing to escalate.”

Rather than give free rent, some new building owners are sweetening the deal with fancier interiors for their new tenants.

Younger Partners Research Featured in D Magazine Article

Number of Offices Marketed for Sale Up in 2018

There’s an additional 3 million square feet of office product up for grabs compared to this time in 2017, which is the highest in five years.

By Julia Bunch, D Magazine

Office properties being marketed for sale are up compared to this time last year, and roughly 10 percent higher than North Texas has seen at any point over the last five years.

“Currently, there are almost 600 office properties in Dallas-Fort Worth being marketed for sale, which total 11,063,686 square feet. This is much higher than [this time in] 2017 when 473 properties were listed for sale for a total of 8,232,695 square feet,” Younger Partners Research Director Steve Triolet says. “When you’re talking about 600 properties, there’s a 1 or 2 percent change everyday, but the main thing to consider is that there’s 3 million square feet of additional product above what was on the market last year.”

Not only is that 11 million square feet above the five-year average, but you’d have to go back to 2010 to see more than 10 million square feet being marketed for sale at any given point in time. So, why is this happening?

For one thing, Triolet says investors have a big appetite—and not just for large, well-occupied buildings in hot submarkets, such as AT&T’s Whitacre Tower, which went up for sale earlier this month. “We’re seeing appetite for buildings that have higher vacancy, and a value-add component. As the market heats up, people are willing to take more risk,” Triolet says.

Several buildings with above-average vacancy have traded in the last few quarters, such as 901 W. Walnut Hill Ln. in late 2017, International Plaza I & II (formerly occupied by JPMorgan Chase and Fannie Mae) in April 2018, Cottonwood Office Centre (formerly occupied by Liberty Mutual) sold in April 2017. Younger Partners is currently marketing 2100 Tower at 2100 Valley View Lane (pictured) in Farmers Branch for sale, which has an occupancy of 65 percent.

Plus, as Marcus & Millichap First Vice President and District Manager Tim Speck says, it’s a seller’s market. “Absorption of office space has been very good, and that has resulted in a pretty good increase in rent. We’ve seen rents go up 25 percent. If you have rents going up 25 percent in five years, and we’ve seen the price per square foot for transactions go up more than that—a little over 30 percent. So owners who have owned for a long time, they have ability to get out now and make money.”

 

It also serves to keep in mind that of all the offices being marketed for sale, many will not end up trading, Speck says. “Yes, you have more people looking at taking something to the market, but a lot of that is just people kicking the tires. I don’t think the number of transactions will be up [for example] 25 percent this year. … Because of the favorable market, many owners are hoping to get a certain number.”

A building Marcus & Millichap just closed, Danari Office Park in Richardson, is a good example. The undisclosed California owner sold to an undisclosed local investor, who plans to update the 11,000-square-foot office to increase occupancy. “As a marketplace, we for sure wouldn’t have traded close to the number we ended up selling for. The owner wasn’t thinking they would necessarily get out. Without investor activity and interest, historically that property wouldn’t have traded.” 

Marcus & Millichap, which tracks office sales greater than $1 million, has seen around 300 trades per year in the recent past. Speck expects office sales greater than $1 million to be up around the 330 or 340 in 2018.

Republic Center Leases Featured in Dallas Morning News, Bisnow & GlobeSt

The Younger Partners leasing team of Kathy Permenter, Trae Anderson, and Sarah Savage signed 30,544 square feet of leases at Republic Center, 325 N. St. Paul St in Downtown Dallas.

Three of the biggest Dallas commerical real estate publications covered the deals in different ways. Here’s the Dallas Morning News coverage , the Bisnow article, and the GlobeSt feature.

Among the leases:

  • Smith Clinesmith, LLP/Clinesmith Law Firm leased 11,213 square feet. The tenant was represented by Jayson Montoya at NAI Robert Lynn.
  • HealthMark Medical Group, LLC leased 10,034 square feet. The tenant was represented by Conor McCarthy at JLL.
  • Constellation New Energy, Inc. leased 6,502 square feet. The tenant was represented by Bret Hefton and Graham Shelby at Avison Young.
  • Addison Group (Bridgepoint Consulting) leased 1,594 square feet. The tenant was represented by Nick Gray at Kevo Commercial.
  • Phlox Capital Management leased 1,211 square feet. The tenant was represented by Oliver Day at Altschuler and Company.

“Republic Center is located in the heart of Downtown, adjacent to public transportation and the soon-to-be Pacific Plaza Park,” says Ms. Permenter. “Republic Center’s occupancy is well above the CBD average and office-users are taking notice. Later this summer, the American Institute of Architects will be moving in on the bottom two floors.”

 

 

Younger Partners, the Dallas Cowboys & The NTCAR Hall of Fame

?The very best among DFW #commercialrealestate are being honored at the #NTCAR #HallOfFame event tonight including Dallas Cowboys’ Jerry Jones & KDC Development’s Toby Groves. Our own Kathy Permenter & Robert Grunnah serve on the HoF committee.?

Here’s a variety of shots from the Hall of Fame members with inductees, the Hall of Fame committee, Younger Partners brokers and some Dallas Cowboys, too.

Sam Kartalis CRE Opinion: Active Chinese Investors in D Magazine

A recently published article regarding Chinese investments in the U.S. implied that the Chinese government’s recent regulations restricting cash outflow from the mainland may have negatively impacted investments in the DFW marketplace by Chinese investors. The article went on to list New York, San Francisco, and Los Angeles as the favorite beneficiaries of Chinese-invested monies. DFW was on the list of secondary cities attracting Chinese monies.

While I cannot dispute these statistics, I feel that they may apply more to restrictions on state-owned Chinese corporations and institutions and not necessarily on high-net-worth Chinese-American individuals. Many of these entrepreneurs are living in the U.S. permanently, or maintaining homes here and in China. They spend much of their time traveling and living in both locations, and own successful business entities that benefit from the booming economics in both the U.S. and China.

Sam Kartalis of Younger Partners

Many of these investors are clients of ours, both individually and via LLCs formed in the U.S., and are extremely active in pursuing real estate investments in DFW. Indeed, most have also been active in the first-tier markets, but they’re smart enough to realize that DFW and Texas cannot be ignored because of the continued growth and the strong economy of the region.

I have been impressed by our investors’ knowledge of the U.S. commercial real estate markets and how quickly they identify and negotiate terms for the assets they purchase. We have aided our investors in pursuing the purchase and investment of equity into raw land, multifamily projects, development land, retail strips, industrial buildings, office buildings, and even condo projects.  Very frankly, we thoroughly enjoy working with them, as do our local clients.

The foreign investors we work with have expressed an interest in not only acquiring existing properties, but also in partnering with developers for new construction.  They are not afraid of bringing equity or debt to the table and have also considered providing mezzanine debt.

Our global investment group continues to serve investors from China and the local Chinese-American communities successfully with our knowledgeable staff that includes brokers Nan Li and Eliane Xu. Nan and Elaine are fluent in multiple languages and have a great understanding of Chinese culture, having grown-up attending elementary school together in China.

Chinese investors are here to stay, and they are perfect examples of how government restrictions and prohibitions do not prevent honest, intelligent and successful individuals from making money.

Sam Kartalis is broker at Dallas-based Younger Partners.

Younger Partners’ Republic Center Lease Wins 2017 DBJ Best Real Estate Deal of the Year for Neighborhood Impact

Younger Partners was awarded the Dallas Business Journal Best Real Estate Deal of 2017 for Neighborhood Impact for the AIA Dallas & Dallas Center for Architecture lease at Republic Center. YP’s Kathy Permenter, Trae Anderson and Sarah Savage represented Republic Tower. Solender/Hall’s Eliza Solender represented AIA. #DallasBRED?
 For the full list of DBJ winners, click here.

Q&A with YP’s New Research Director Steve Triolet

Commercial real estate research veteran Steve Triolet joined the Younger Partners team recently as director of research. We sat down with him to learn more about how he developed his knack for sniffing out CRE trends in DFW.

YP: How did you land in commercial real estate research?

Steve: My first job out of college was for a small research company (Parks Associates) that tracks home automation, advanced security systems and home network technologies.  Early adopters of these emerging technologies were typically high-end homes and some commercial properties.  That’s where I first started learning about research as a professional, which later led to commercial real estate research.  I cut my teeth at Costar as a commercial research analyst right after the dotcom bust in 2000.

YP: How did you wind up at Younger Partners?

Steve: Outside of following Greg Grainger wherever he goes (I worked with him at CBRE and JLL), my career has mainly been about elevating brokerage research operations.  When I started at CBRE in the early 2000s, most researchers were junior brokers in training.  They’d learn the market and business by working in research for about two years then move on.  This model works well from a brokerage perspective but is less than ideal from a research perspective (as soon you reach a certain level of expertise, you change roles and a new, typically green person replaces you).  At CBRE, I helped create a more sophisticated research department, where research professionals could be the backbone of the department (there were still interns and junior brokers in training, but also career research professionals).  I was at CBRE for about 6.5 years and then JLL recruited me away to head up their local research department.  I was at JLL for 7.5 years, when Xceligent made me an offer I couldn’t refuse.  Unfortunately, they went out of business less than a year after I came on board, but that opened the door for my opportunity here at Younger Partners.

YP: What is your role here?

Steve: I try to supplement and support all the lines of business with market knowledge and thought pieces on the state of the market.  Every one of us here is in the information business, just from a multitude of different facets (land, office, industrial, etc.). Our clients hire us primarily for our expertise in commercial real estate and our knowledge of the market (and stats to back that up) is a foundation for that.

YP:  What do you like most about crunching numbers and doing research?

Steve: I’ve been tracking and reporting on commercial real estate for over 18 years now, so I feel like I know the office and industrial market just about as well as anyone, but I still learn new things on a consistent basis.  New technologies and trends come along, that you have to keep on top of (coworking is a current example).

YP: Do you have any hobbies outside of work?

Steve: I do a fair amount of hiking when the weather allows. I’m also an animal lover; my kids have a little menagerie of lizards, turtles and toads that we caught over the past few years from our “nature walks.” I try to check out all of the various nature preserves around the Metroplex, the City of Richardson is currently expanding the Galatyn Nature Preserve which is within walking distance from home.

YP: What’s going to be the trend/story of 2018 commercial real estate in DFW? Why is that the story?

Steve: Several things point to the local market entering a transitional period. Over the past five years, things have been incredibly great, but there are a few things that point to a transition to good, but not great over the next year or so (the construction pipeline, rental rates and sale prices).  Longer term, a downward shift is needed if we want Dallas to remain a lower cost destination for companies looking to relocate and/or expand here (rates for office and industrial properties, for example, at are all time high and far beyond previous cycle peaks).

YP:  If you had to bet on a CRE industry sector to outperform the others, which one would you pick? Why?

Steve: Industrial is the canary in the coal mine.  Let me explain. Industrial is the market to watch the most, it has slightly less risk than office, retail or multifamily because the construction time for industrial properties is less than for the other property types.  A very large industrial building can be built in 9 to 12 months, while a typical office building takes about 2 years.  Because of this shorter construction time, the industrial market can more quickly adapt to a pickup or slowdown in demand.  Locally, bulk industrial properties have been the darling of investors because of our central location gives DFW a logistical advantage to serve as a south central regional hub for the middle of the United States.  Also, the tremendous growth we’ve seen from the e-commerce sector has made DFW consistently one of the five best industrial markets in the country.  This is not just about Amazon, which has been growing by about 2 million per year but also by some much more niche online retailers like Chewy.com (now a part of PetSmart), Wayfair, etc.

D CEO Names YP to the Biggest CRE Brokerage Firms in DFW 2018

Younger Partners may be a boutique commercial real estate firm, but we can still shake things up. YP made D CEO’s list of Biggest Commercial Real Estate Brokerage Firms in Dallas-Fort Worth 2018Let us show you how we flex our muscles by providing investment, leasing, and management services to investors and tenants in the Dallas/Fort Worth region. Whether it be land, office, industrial, retail, or multifamily, we have market specialists focused on each type of commercial property.  See the full list here.

DBJ Selects YP’s Republic Center Lease to AIA & DCFA as a Finalist for Best Real Estate Deal of 2017

YP is honored to be among the DBJ Best Real Estate Deals of 2017 finalists in the neighborhood impact category for the American Institute of Architects Dallas Chapter and Dallas Center for Architecture lease at Republic Center.

YP’s Kathy Permenter, Trae Anderson and Sarah Savage represented Republic Center.  Solender/Hall’s Eliza Solender represented AIA. The long-term lease is for 13,708 square feet of office, exhibition and meeting space on the building’s first two floors, connected by an interior staircase. Located in the heart of the city center near public transportation, the space in Republic Center has high street-front visibility and pedestrian traffic, and is directly across from what will be a special new outdoor space, Pacific Plaza. #DallasBRED

Link to the announcement here.